Signal Methodology

How signals are ranked

Each insider trade is analyzed using a transparent ranking framework. Higher-conviction setups are prioritized first. Here's what we look for:

Primary Conviction

Core Factor

These are the strongest drivers of buy-side signal quality.

Ownership Conviction: Larger buys as a percentage of post-trade holdings rank higher.
Historical Timing Skill: Insiders with stronger average follow-through on prior buys get more weight.
Price Context: Buys near 52-week lows or after meaningful drawdowns are treated as higher-conviction.
Net Buying Pressure: Net shares bought versus sold helps distinguish real accumulation.
Repeat Insider Buying: Multiple buys by the same insider in a short window increase conviction.

Confirmation Signals

Cluster Multiplier

These strengthen confidence when they align with primary conviction.

Cluster Buying: Three or more insiders buying in a short window boosts confidence.
C-Suite + Board Cluster: Executive and director buying together gets a stronger boost.
Past Buy Transaction History: Example: “2 past buy transactions.” More consistent follow-through on those past buys adds confidence.

Context Modifiers

Role & Context

These add context, but are weighted below core conviction factors.

Role + Tenure: Longer-tenured, high-role insiders receive additional weight on discretionary buys.
First-Time Transaction: First buy or sell in 5+ years is notable and used as supporting context.

Sell-Side Risk

Risk Warning

These deepen bearish interpretation for sell signals.

Sell Risk Patterns: Repeated selling, cluster selling, and high-role exits increase sell-side warning strength.

Explore ranked signals in real time

See high-conviction insider buys and sells filtered and scored with plain-English AI explanations.

Signals are decision support, not guaranteed outcomes. Combine them with your own strategy and risk framework.